This slowly evolving modus vivendi has proved beneficial to both sides over the years. A working hypothesis has developed within the security apparatus that the „guarding” of the gaps can be outsourced to Palestinians, appealing to their own economic interests. The improvement in employment indicators has led to an improvement in the economic situation of Palestinians. These gaps allowed illegal Palestinian workers to cross the Green Line without permission and find work. As the security situation improved, decision-makers recognized that the gaps in the fence that had developed over the years were acting as a kind of socio-economic safety valve. The 700-kilometer-long barrier played an important role in curbing terrorist acts, mainly by suicide bombers.Ī collateral consequence was that the new fence simultaneously made it more difficult for Palestinian illegal workers to infiltrate Israel. The security fence separating Israel from Judea and Samaria was a direct consequence of the war of terror known as the Al-Aqsa Intifada of 2000. The first is the issue of the security fence. ![]() As mentioned above, the perpetrator was incapacitated in the ensuing firefight.īeyond the Fauda romanticization of the images, there are two operational aspects of the case that are worth briefly analyzing. In a matter of hours, they were able to identify the „needle” hiding in a haystack in a metropolis of half a million people. ![]() Tactical intelligence was very effective in the hunt following the Tel Aviv attack. These were neither identified nor prevented. There is no doubt, however, that in the shadow of the ISIS actions, two other attacks were in the pipeline, by various Fatah organizations, which form the core of the Palestinian Autonomy. It is also possible that if the two attacks inspired by the Islamic State had not been followed by a strong response, there would have been further acts of terrorism from that direction. No one is a gutless person, and one must always put out the fire that burns the hottest. I recognize that this criticism is unfair to some extent. ![]() The day, as we know, consists of only 24 hours, including a night, andĬhasing the phantom of ISIS all day, you have less time to look up and around. It is not impossible that the allure of the “Islamic State brand” and the surprise of its sudden return has led to an intelligence blind spot, with other radical organizations being left out of the picture.įrom here, it is only a step to the failure of preventive intelligence. It is not uncommon, for example, for an offender to serve as an officer in one of the intelligence apparatuses of the “peace partner” Palestinian Authority, to have tribal or family loyalties to Hamas, and to be radicalized at the individual level by Islamic State videos. This has happened despite the warnings of some experts, including the author of these lines, that organizational affiliation is not one-dimensional and that there are no impenetrable firewalls between organizations. Some of the terrorist attacks in late March were carried out by Islamic State extremists,Īnd, as a result, attention has been focused in that direction. What we failed to do was identify the terrorist organizations opposing us. The phenomenon was detected and responded to early. In the last week of the month, three terrorist attacks took place in different major Israeli cities. The gradual quantitative increase was accompanied by a significant qualitative jump at the end of March. Monthly statistical analysis of terrorist attacks has made it clear that we are seeing the early stages of an escalating wave of terror. There is a very strong link between the war in Eastern Europe and the wave of terror in the Middle East.Īt a strategic level, the attack came as no surprise. Now that we are on the fourth case with the Tel Aviv attack, it is time to reflect on the intelligence, operational, political and geopolitical aspects of the phenomenon. One case is chance, two cases are coincidence, three cases are a pattern. There is a well-known saying within the profession. That night’s attack is the fourth milestone in a wave of terror that has claimed 14 victims so far. During the arrest attempt, a gun battle broke out, during which the terrorist lost his life. ![]() Was a member of the terrorist organization „Al-Aqsa Martyrs Brigade” and was wearing the black uniform of the organization during the attack.Īfter several hours of manhunt, the whereabouts of the perpetrator was identified. The perpetrator is a resident of Jenin (Samaria), who was in Israel without permission. A 28-year-old Palestinian terrorist, Ra’ad Hazem, opened fire on a cafe, killing three youths his age and wounding nine other patrons.
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